Daily fantasy football: Building blocks for Week 13
No
need to overthink this one, as Brees at home is almost always a great bet. He
shredded the Rams for five total touchdowns in Week 12 and faces an equally
enticing matchup in the Lions this week. Brees has not scored fewer than 20
points in a home game this season and has topped 30 points on two occasions.
The Saints have innumerable options to distribute the football to and Brees
shouldn’t face significant pressure from a Lions defense that has just 20 sacks
this season (only four teams have fewer). Don’t be surprised if he pushes for
another 30 points this week.
I
have no concrete proof that coaches immediately aim to appease wide receivers
who complain about their lack of touches, but in the case of Cooks, it would be
awfully surprising if he were a complete statistical dud yet again. Cooks
entered Week 12 as a top-10 wide receiver despite a lower target rate than most
in his class. Then he got nary a target. The Saints are again at home, there’s
nothing scary about the matchup and the frustrated, wronged wide receiver wants
the football. He’ll get it. Don’t be scared of Cooks.
After
a monster day versus the Dolphins in Week 12, when Kaepernick produced 296
yards passing, three touchdowns and 113 yards rushing, the 49ers quarterback is
now averaging more than 23 points per game. In fact, since Week 9, Kaepernick
ranks second overall in total fantasy points with 95. Given the
quarterback-designed runs in Chip Kelly’s offense, plus the vertical concepts
that target inside-throwing windows on seam routes, Kaepernick is primed to
post more impressive numbers this week versus a below-average Bears defense that
is working through injuries at all three levels of the field.
Hill produced his third-highest
point total of the season on DraftKings' scoring key this past week despite
facing the stingiest rush defense in the league and ending up with just 21
yards on the ground and no touchdowns. Thanks to career highs in routes run,
targets and receptions, plus the second-most receiving yards of his career --
we must go back to the fourth game of his career for a better receiving
performance -- Hill still returned value for his investors. Per the matchup
metrics, the Eagles have yielded the eighth-most yards per carry and ninth-most
receptions per game to opposing backfields. Still reasonably priced and due to
consume a heavy workload now that he's consolidated early-down, goal-line and
receiving work in the wake of Giovani Bernard's season-ending injury, Hill claims a
coveted spectrum of high-floor and high-ceiling outcomes.
Tristan H. Cockcroft -- Devontae Booker, RB, Denver Broncos
I’m going to want at least one
discount 15-plus-touch running back in order to afford one of the pricier
quarterbacks and WR1s -- and Booker has gotten 25-plus
touches in each of his past two games and is only the 18th-priciest running
back on both DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 13. The opposing Jaguars,
meanwhile, have served up big games to LeSean
McCoy and DeMarco Murray in
the past five weeks and, in fact, have served up a league-high eight rushing scores
in the past six weeks.
The
primary reason Wilson struggled last week is a Tampa Bay pass rush that ranks
seventh in the league since Week 9 in ESPN’s pass-pressure metric, which gauges
how often a defense gets a sack, quarterback hit or puts the quarterback under
duress (36.4 percent). This is not something Carolina does well, as the
Panthers rank 25th for the season in this metric (25.5 percent). Look for
Wilson to return to his Weeks 9-11 form that saw him post 25 or more points in
each game.
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